Category: LECITHIN NEWS
LECITHIN NEWS

Lasenor is actively present in the main sourcing areas for NON GMO lecithin. We will offer regular feedback on its development as a diagnosing tool.
Non GMO Soya – Identity Preserved
Indian Soy Crop 2021 estimated production figures

Highlights of this issue : · Monsoon season is still in full swing, with late showers. Beans humidity is a factor to be carefully monitored as this may bring quality issues (OTA levels).
Import figures show a fast-growing demand in India, strongly supported by a healthy local Feed industry.
Increasing sea freight from South America to India combined with restricted lecithin availability in Brazil have led to bullying price levels.
As a consequence, many Indian companies have been forced to accept paying prices similar to European market to get the material they need.
Indian Soyabean prices have reached a record price of EUR 1200/Mt this year 2021, (and we now see) farmers seem reluctant to sell at a lower price level despite oil complex slight decrease overseas.
From the demand point of view, we have been seeing a kind of panic in Europe and South America, due to scarce Brazilian production of Non GMO IP material:

Many customers found themselves short, with open positions and default from their usual suppliers.
This puts additional pressure on Indian supply, and we expect prices remaining high until the new crop in South America.
Last but not least, sea freight from India to Europe/Americas has sky rocketed in the past five months, which makes many sellers reluctant to make long term agreements.
Facing such an uncertain scenario, Non GMO IP Russian material is now strongly considered as a back-up option.

Sunflower Lecithin

– Latest harvest figures in the Black Sea show that crop may turn potential record crop in Ukraine (larger than
previously assumed), but on the other hand Russian crop may turn a lower than expected.
In the worst-case scenario Russian production may turn out below 15 million Tons in 2021.
– Abundant production is expected in several EU countries.
– However, the transition to the new crop is being extremely difficult for various factors:
- The season started later than expected due to weather conditions
- Many deliveries are pending due to the shortage
- Many farmers keep stock, being reserved sellers
- Russian taxation on exports is reducing processing of sunflower seeds
- Demand is healthy in EU 27, with biodiesel production switching from rapeseed to sunflower.
– As a result, demand of raw materials remains firm and the expected price decline on sunflower lecithin on the high season has not materialized.
– From a more global point of view, the Non GMO production deficit in South America, combined with sea freight crisis, has a strong impact on sunflower lecithin market segment.
India will not be able to absorb 100% additional demand coming from usual Brazilian customers. We strongly believe that end users will continue with the switch from IP soy to sunflower in order to guarantee the Non GMO status.
In our views, both Non GMO soya lecithin and sunflower lecithin prices will remain at high price level, well above EUR 2,00/kg EXW, with additional potential increases later in the year if demand remains strong.
Next crop in South America will have to be carefully followed, as there is a high risk that La Niña weather conditions would result in rainfall deficit and bad crop.
All these factors are at play in a market where we continue seeing a solid demand for lecithin as a “natural” emulsifier

Lasenor is actively present in the main sourcing areas for NON GMO lecithin. We will offer regular feedback on its development as a diagnosing tool.
Non GMO Soya – Identity Preserved
2021 in Brazil
Soybean Balance (Mn T) January / December

Soya bean Crop 2021 in Brazil shows very good figures, but only 47,24 MnT of the crop is expected to be processed in local crushing plants.
It is roughly estimated that 98% of the total soybean output is now genetically modified, thus our projected volume of 945 000 T of Non GMO soybeans to be crushed, which yield approximately 5.250 T of soyabean lecithin.
It is also worth underlining that local crushers are reported to experience difficulties to maintain Hard IP certification system, leading to lower production volumes and discontinuation of IP certification projects.
Having a look at historical data for Brazilian crops we have the following scenario:

Source: CONAB, September 2020.
This graph clearly shows the decline of the Non GMO soybean crop in Brazil over the past 4 years. With regards to lecithin production the historical data is as follows:

Explanation for this trend:
In order to overcome the increasing risk of cross contamination, farmers and crushers have opted to concentrate in the value added Non GMO soy complex thus targeting exports to Europe with a view to capitalize on a premium price for Non GM Soy derivatives.
However, if there is no financial compensation/premium for Non GM material, same producers will shift its focus to GM soy products.
Unfortunately, the prices in Europe were not attractive enough to support Brazilian farmers efforts for certified Non GMO products. As a result, Non GMO soy cultivation has
Sunflower Lecithin
As anticipated in our Q1 2021 ́s issue, sunflower lecithin is facing an acute shortfall since end of March. There is virtually zero availability for spot business and contracts on Q3 2021 as a result of the high demand.
Price range at present has doubled compared to 6 months ago.
This situation will last at least until new sunflower crop becomes available in October, and market will need time to adjust to the existing supply shock.
plummeted to its lowest historical level and prevalence of GM soy varieties in Brazil is almost 100% this season.
Due to the tight supply, Indian Lecithin is in great demand even for South and Northern America users, that in the past imported significant amounts of Brazilian origin. Some important deals with multinational companies, have been recently closed for H2 2021 supply, which indicates a real shortage in Brazil.
On the back of the high demand prices are shooting up in India.
We do not expect better supply conditions before the end of 2021, and we believe that bullish uptrend in price will remain for the period.
In our views, substantial volumes of GMO Free Lecithin will be needed to compensate for the lack of Brazilian Non GMO product, therefore customers will be seeking for replacement with sunflower or Indian Soy.
Ukraine and Russia, the major sunflower producing countries have already started its sowing season.
The 2021 planting campaign started a few weeks later than usual due to cold weather and abundant rainfalls in the region. Ukrainian farmers have now almost completed 2021 spring grain campaign.
Ukrainian ministry reports farmers having sowed 6,4 Million hectares sunflower which represents 6% increase in the planting area.
This would lead to a expected record harvest of 16,4 Mt whereas 2020 ́s crop reached 14.3 Mn T.
In Russia and according to official 2021 estimates, the area for sunflower cultivation has decreased by 2.5% in comparison with last year.
Sunflower sowing area is estimated in the region of 8,9 Million hectares and 2021 ́s Russian crop is projected to reach 14.5- 15MnTv/s14MnTlastyear.
Sowing campaign being almost completed, we have now entered into a weather market. Climate conditions will play a major role next harvest.
We will release next Lecithin News issue by the end of September with the most recent insight of the situation and figures for sunflower crop and crush rates in 2021.
Monsoon in India will have started by then that will allow to get a more accurate outlook of the Non GMO lecithin market.

Lasenor is actively present in the main sourcing areas for NON GMO lecithin. We will offer regular feedback on its development as a diagnosing tool.
Non GMO Soya – Identity Preserved
Crop 2020 in India
Crops estimations – Lecithin production – Crude lecithin prices

Crop 2019 was hit by high percentage % of damaged seed due to weather adverse conditions, as a result the production of Lecithin dropped significantly.
The flow of seeds from the farmers to the crushers was steady between October and February 2019, therefore prices kept in a relative low range.
On the contrary, crop 2020 has had lower amount % of damaged seeds. Nevertheless the supply from farmers to crushers has been interrupted due to floods, leading to speculative movements and a price hike as a result.
Even more so, the edible oil complex in Chicago and Malaysia hit the highest levels in more than 5 years which prompted crushers to speculate with prices even more.
Due to this market situation, prices for Non GM IP Soya lecithin have gone up from 6% to 9% comparing 2020 versus 2021.
It is also worth to underline Ocratoxin (OTA) presence in foodstuffs originated in India:
Over the past 2-3 years we have been seeing its predominance rising in this country.
This may lead to a double market in a very near future:
- High price for low OTA level lecithin suitable for sensitive applications such as Infant formulas, breakfast cereals, etc ….
- Lower price for Lecithins with few restrictions for OTA.
Crop 2020 in Rusia
Russia has now become trusted option for non GMO IP Soya lecithin.
Local legislation forbids use of GM derived foodstuffs in Russia.
Crops estimations for the past 2 years are as follows:

Sunflower
Crop 2020 in Rusia

EU – Sunflower seeds production

EU – Sunflower oil production

The sunflower production at 8,86 Million Tons is significantly below both last year’s crop and 5 years avarage dua to reduced output in Romania and Bulgaria.
In our views the development of the market dynamics has given contradictory signs during September/December 2020:
- Crushers in Russia/Ukraine were cautious about low availability, and price offered for crude Sunflower Lecithin has been marked up from the early season due to availability concerns.
- Western European crushers were aware of the scarcity of raw material in Russia/Ukraine, but the pressure to gain market share and have payback on latest investments done over the past 5 years prompted them to follow the price downtrend.
Organic Lecithin
Here we would like to recap our Lecithin News issue of Q1 2020 that expressed our concern about the reliability of product available in the marketplace:
1/ Crop productivity: 2 Metric Tonnes of seeds per Hectare. *Average yield for conventional sunflower; likely to be smaller for organic crops
Oil Extraction Yield considering only mechanical pressing is allowed: 32% in weight from seed.
Lecithin content: 7 Kg per Metric Ton of Crude Sunflower Oil* (*Internal Lasenor data).
As a consequence, prices were at their lowest at the end of last year. But, later on, when time has come to deliver to the customers, sellers were experiencing strong difficulties to find the raw material required to fulfil with their agreements.
Logically, prices went up and are still increasing significantly as a result of this lower availability.
We believe this trend will continue until the new harvest arrives in Europe.
According to our research the Potential World Production of Organic Sunflower Lecithin raises to approx. 800 Tons per annum worldwide.
2/ Data gathered from Ministry of Commerce & Industry, Government of India and Chinese Agricultural University of Beijing shows that prevalence of Organic crops are non existing in India nor China.
Nevertheless, Chinese and Indian suppliers are offering unlimited (non limited) volumes of Organic Sunflower Lecithin, which is quite remarkable taking into consideration that no organic crops are planted in neither these two of these countries. More surprising is for India taking into account that it is monthly importing 1.000 Tons of conventional Sunflower Lecithin.
Trends
Non GMO products in the US market
In November 2017 & May 2018 editions we were stating
“The debate for the GM food present in the US shelves is ongoing on media and American public opinion. The vast proliferation of Supermarket chains focused on natural and organic products has increased demand of Non GMO and Allergen Free Lecithin to be used by food manufacturers. Initially, only premium brands required such Lecithin and other natural ingredients as well, but in recent years it has grown to a general domain. More strict controls are in place to guarantee absence of GM ingredients in foodstuffs.”
“Deadline of July’18 for the USDA to pronounce on a federal position in the United States regarding labeling of GMO, as well with the fact that public awareness in the matter is a hot topic, it has triggered demand in the largest market in the world. Large supermarket chains are already showing NON-GMO product lines, and in some cases with NON-GMO global policies.
Also, the uptrend for the cleaner label is boosting the substitution of synthetic emulsifiers for natural (with more natural emulsification) solutions such as functional specialty Lecithin, that can potentially replace synthetic emulsifiers in some bakery & confectionary applications.
Food producers are seeking alternatives to synthetic emulsifiers, and enzymatically modified Lecithin can, in some applications, play the same role with more label-friendly.”
This is now a reality: US companies have settled strong “well-being projects”, Non-GMO being a major challenge for the coming years

More and more companies are getting concerned by environmental matters, looking for close supply. This topic now forms part the key factors of the purchase decision for many of them.
- Lasenor started many years ago with saving measures to reduce our energy consumption, but it has not been until 2018thatwehaveaclearmonitoringofourCO2 footprint for Scope.
- Our main actions are concentrated in:
– Energy efficiency in our production.
– Take advantage of the high solar radiation that we have in our part of the World.
- Lasenor main consumption is by far in Olesa de Montserrat, but the monitoring program and consequent planning will also be ready for all our 5 subsidiaries by end 2020.
Lasenor is making an ambitious internationalization expansion in order to be able to offer equivalent products in the different main economic regions in the World. This project allows us to be very close to the raw material sourcing and to our customers plants.